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Carbon markets and carbon taxes: can’t we all just get along?

Adam Stein

by Adam Stein – May 24, 2007
 

rockemsockem.jpgWe’ve never once written on the ongoing, slow-boiling debate between those who favor a cap-and-trade mechanism for reducing carbon emissions and those who favor a carbon tax. This is surprising. Not only are these issues in which we have some professional interest, they also involve all sorts of good wonky fun.

The fun turns out to be mostly theoretical, though. In practice, the debate often turns into an arid shouting match between people who ostensibly share an interest in not seeing the planet roast. Witness, for example, this latest exchange in Grist.

Why the acrimony? One possible reason is that there isn’t much new to say on this topic. The relative pros and cons of carbon markets and carbon taxes are fairly well-understood, easy to communicate, and not even especially controversial, other than to partisans. After you go back and forth a few times, the only thing left to do is trade insults.

Another possible reason is that the debate is regarded by many as moot. Conventional wisdom holds that carbon taxes are a political dead letter, leaving cap-and-trade as the only viable legislative option. This conventional wisdom can lead to a bit of smugness on the part of cap-and-trade advocates. It is also undoubtedly insanely frustrating to carbon tax advocates, who view it as a self-fulfilling prophecy.

Perhaps it’s this frustration, then, that leads some carbon tax advocates to such heights of rhetorical overreach in arguing their position.

For example, one of the major advantages of a tax over cap-and-trade is simplicity. Taxes are easier to administer and harder to cheat, and for these reasons among others are believed by economists to be the more efficient policy prescription. Score one for carbon taxes.

It does not logically follow, however, that cap-and-trade systems are too complex to function. They’re just more complex. This is a disadvantage, not a fatal flaw. Charles Komanoff writes that the “old Hollywood maxim that a story line can’t exceed 25 words should disqualify cap-and-trade systems from the get-go.” Even allowing for a bit of tongue in cheek, it would be hard to come up with a more vapid criticism of a piece of environmental legislation.

Some carbon tax advocates have an unsettling habit of simply denying the problems with carbon taxes. The most glaring of these problems is that carbon taxes don’t actually require anyone to reduce carbon emissions. It is ironic that carbon credits are so often referred to as “permits to pollute,” because this is a far more apt description of a carbon tax: pay the tax, keep polluting. Obviously a stiff enough tax will discourage fossil fuel usage, but a large body of evidence points up the fact that it is distressingly difficult to convince people to stop using energy. (Recall those Indian builders from last week.)

Throw in a little gratuitous conspiracy theorizing among carbon tax proponents, and you’ve got a pretty strange brew.

I am not, despite appearances, making an argument for the superiority of cap-and-trade over carbon taxes. My personal view is that implementation specifics matter a good deal more than the broad shape of the legislation. The most important matter is setting the price of carbon high enough.

I would, however, like to see a bit more evenhandedness in an argument between people who share a policy objective of reducing carbon emissions. If you’re interested in a more detailed look at this debate, check out this recent article in Reason Magazine.

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Further reading

Comments

1. Comment by tom Arnold @ May 25, 2007 8 AM Comment permalink

Nice overview. One point I would bring out even more is questioning just how much a carbon tax relies on expected behavior from a price change. Take the example of gas prices, up $1 in the last year. If this price change were triggered by a carbon tax, the price per ton of carbon would be $100 per ton! Yet reading todays headlines about memorial day travel, the price increase may not be accomplishing much.

2. Comment by Ian Oeschger @ May 25, 2007 11 AM Comment permalink

Hi - Maybe I’m looking in the wrong place, but at one time, I feel like I saw a lot more information about cap and trade. For example, I believe I remember that as much as two thirds of the actual terrapass went into a carbon market (?) (Chicago?). Now, all of the _About_ information I could find in a cursory search addressed investment in alternative energy sources.

Has there been a switch in strategy or simply a rearranging of the information about how this money is contributed? For my own part, I was excited about this participation in a cap and trade, and agree that the merits seem almost inarguable. Thanks for info. -Ian

3. Comment by Adam Stein @ May 25, 2007 11 AM Comment permalink

Hi Ian,

No change in strategy. One third of our portfolio is wind RECs. Two thirds are carbon credits that we register on the Chicago Climate Exchange and then retire.

Probably the change you’re noticing is that we added more detail around the “industrial efficiency” section of our project pages. Before this section just talked in a sort of generic fashion about cap and trade. Now it specifically discusses landfill methane abatement, which is the type of project making up this portion of our portfolio.

- Adam

4. Comment by Mark Prigge @ May 28, 2007 8 AM Comment permalink

How we would pay for a carbon tax is pretty straightforward, the price just goes up.
How though would a cap-and-trade system be administered on an individual level whether it be at the gas pump or by turning up the thermostat?

5. Comment by Mike FL @ May 30, 2007 6 AM Comment permalink

I am still shocked that people are actually convinced that we have a carbon problem at all, let alone having a mandatory tax. We need less government involvement, not more. We do not need any more taxes. I think I already contribute way more than my fair share out of my weekly check. Carbon taxes are just a nice way for the government to put its hand in my wallet again. And carbon taxes are not very controversial except to partisans? WOW. Well, call me a partisan hack, then.
But I am still unconvinced that we have a carbon problem anywhere other than L.A. Thanks for taking my comments.

6. Comment by Adam Stein @ May 30, 2007 7 AM Comment permalink

Mike, I said the pros and cons of carbon taxes are not very controversial — meaning they are well understood. Obviously the implementation of a carbon tax is still very controversial. But many carbon tax proposals are revenue neutral, meaning they are balanced by tax cuts elsewhere, so a lot of people would actually see their tax bills decrease.

Also, I think you might be confusing carbon — which is responsible for global warming — with smog. Both are problems, but global warming is a much bigger problem.

7. Comment by Mike FL @ May 30, 2007 9 AM Comment permalink

OK. I guess I misread what you wrote. I’m still skeptical about any tax being revenue neutral.

8. Comment by Kevin @ May 30, 2007 12 PM Comment permalink

I’m not an economist, but I play one at my dinner table ;). I think that the answer for me can be seen by which side Exxon favors. They favor a carbon tax, so I’ll bet that the capping will work the best to protect the planet. Their experience with the US tax code probably gives them a smug feeling about how effective a carbon tax will be.

9. Comment by Adam Stein @ May 30, 2007 12 PM Comment permalink

Huh. That’s interesting. Most industry player favor cap-and-trade. Didn’t realize that Exxon split ranks.

While “do the opposite of Exxon” is generally a good rule of thumb, I’m not sure it’s operative here…

10. Comment by pradwastes @ May 30, 2007 6 PM Comment permalink

A carbon tax would things like nuclear, solar, and wind energy and other low or non carbon enegy to be more competative with burning fossil fuels to generate electricity. It alowes us to use market forces to save the world.

11. Comment by pradwastes @ May 30, 2007 6 PM Comment permalink

A carbon tax would things like nuclear, solar, and wind energy and other low or non carbon enegy to be more competative with burning fossil fuels to generate electricity. It alowes us to use market forces to save the world.

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